Model validation and evidence · Provance

Model validation built into delivery.

Provance moves requirements, independent challenge, and evidence creation into the delivery cycle. One methodology covers traditional, AI/ML, and agentic systems so problems surface earlier and approval evidence is assembled as the work happens.

01 · What changes

Validation becomes part of delivery.

Requirements are known before development begins, problems surface while they are still inexpensive to fix, and the timeline becomes more predictable.

Requirements early

Business, development, and model-risk teams agree on evidence, roles, benchmarks, and approval standards at the start.

Problems surface earlier

Data, methodology, performance, fairness, and operational weaknesses are reviewed at defined points instead of accumulating until final validation.

Parallel work

Development and validation move on coordinated, parallel tracks rather than waiting in a single sequential queue.

Evidence by design

Artifacts are created, versioned, approved, and retained as the work happens so examination readiness is a property of the process.

02 · Seven checkpoints

Validation is a sequence of decisions, not one final event.

The checkpoints put independent challenge where it can still change the system and make the approval state explicit before production exposure expands.

01 · Scope

Validation charter

Scope, tier, architecture, roles, evidence requirements, and validation strategy.

02 · Approach

Validation plan

Proposed method, benchmark, testing strategy, and operating approach.

03 · Data

Data assessment

Suitability, lineage, quality, representativeness, and known limitations.

04 · Build

Method assessment

Implementation, assumptions, tests, and documentation reviewed while development continues.

05 · Challenge

Challenge report

Independent findings on performance, resilience, fairness, misuse, controls, and operating assumptions.

06 · Decision

Decision record

Documented approval, limitation, condition, or rejection tied to the evidence.

07 · Operate

Monitoring plan

Performance thresholds, change triggers, approved conditions of use, and ongoing review.

03 · Why the cycle compresses

The work moves in parallel.

Four operating mechanics shorten the timeline while preserving the evidence standard.

Front-loaded requirements

Scope defines the evidence and approval standard before development, preventing late discovery of material requirements.

Parallel execution

Development, data assessment, model-risk review, adversarial testing, and documentation proceed on coordinated tracks.

Tiered intensity

The validation burden scales to what the model can affect, preventing low-risk work from consuming the same resources as consequential systems.

Evidence assembled in flight

The record required for approval and examination is produced as the underlying decisions are made.

04 · Risk tiers

Governance matched to what the model can affect.

Three tiers determine the independence, evidence, approval, deployment, and monitoring required.

T1
Internal · Low stakes

Outputs remain inside the business and do not determine customer or regulated outcomes. Self-service validation operates under a defined production gate and standard software controls.

T2
Customer-adjacent · Moderate stakes

Outputs inform customer-facing activity under human oversight. Standard model-risk validation, staged deployment, and human-in-the-loop controls apply.

T3
Consequential · High stakes

Outputs materially affect customers, capital, regulated decisions, or legal obligations. Strong independent validation, approval, monitoring, and recurring review apply.

05 · Twelve tools

Twelve tools make the methodology operational.

The tools work together across six jobs the institution must perform: diagnose the current state, specify the work, assess the system, control production, govern the portfolio, and modernize validation for AI, machine learning, and agentic systems.

I · Diagnose

Know what must change.

Validation Readiness Assessment.

II · Specify

Define the evidence before development.

Templates and standards establish intended use, tier, roles, evidence, benchmarks, and approval logic.

III · Assess

Challenge the system.

Independent assessment of data, methodology, performance, fairness, robustness, documentation, and operating controls.

IV · Deploy & operate

Control real-world exposure.

Staged Deployment Planner · Contingency Plan Template · Data Monitoring Specification.

V · Quantify & govern

Manage validation as an enterprise capability.

RTY Calculator · Exam Readiness Package · Portfolio Governance Module.

VI · Modernize

Validate what legacy model risk never covered.

Traditional validation assumed statistical models and a single production gate. Provance applies the same evidence standard to AI, machine learning, and agentic systems, including behaviors, controls, and ongoing changes that older validation approaches were not built to address.

06 · Regulatory coverage

One methodology, mapped to eight frameworks.

Provance maintains a framework-agnostic operating core and maps its evidence to major regulatory and governance standards across five jurisdictions.

United States

SR 26-2 · SR 11-7

NIST AI Risk Management Framework

European Union

EU AI Act

EBA Guidelines

United Kingdom

PRA SS1/23

Canada

OSFI E-23

Singapore

MAS FEAT

The practical value: one validated artifact can satisfy multiple overlapping obligations without forcing the team to create separate evidence packages for every framework.

07 · Evidence and ownership

Evidence that survives scrutiny and stays current.

Every artifact is versioned, approved, stored, and verified under one Evidence Control Standard, creating a traceable record from initial scope through production operation.

The Continuous Validation Specification turns continuous validation into a rolling cadence matched to each system’s rate of change and risk. Performance breaches, material changes, incidents, and scheduled reviews can trigger revalidation.

Provance is designed for transfer. After handover, your team owns the methodology, the tools, the evidence, and the governance record.

08 · Provance and AIRO

Validation and adoption should reinforce each other.

AIRO addresses the operating path from opportunity to production and value. Provance addresses the independent evidence that an individual model or AI system is fit for intended use. The two methods can work together or independently.